What are you going to do if Trump wins?
I have been working on four different Op-eds but cannot finish any. None of them are gelling. I have been unable to stay on subject, find an ending, make a coherent point. What I can write and finish, is this.
What are you going to do if Trump wins?
There is little point in discussing Trump’s course of action if reelected. Simply read the 900-page manifesto, Project 2025. It gives detailed descriptions of what to expect. If you are reading this and have no idea what is in Project 2025, I have two more questions for you: ‘What abandoned coal mine have you been living in?’ and ‘Is there room for me and my wife?’
If your first reaction to ‘What if Trump wins?’ is, “I’m leaving the country,” consider this: If you do not already have plans locked in, a specific destination reserved, a valid passport, and half your luggage packed, it is doubtful you are going anywhere.
Besides, where would you go? Trump has already expressed the desire to invade Mexico ‘to stop the drug cartels.’ How long after that before he and General Flynn turn their attention toward Canada?
Further away? Say, Europe? One of Trump’s first executive actions will be to ‘end the war in Ukraine’ by cutting weapons support. He and Vlad are, after all, ‘friends.’ In the ‘interest of world harmony,’ he will next withdraw from NATO because none of those people like him. The ‘all clear, having been sounded,’ Putin will advance westward, pausing only to admire himself in the mirror, on his way to Cabo da Roca, Portugal.
Even further away, perhaps? How about somewhere in Asia? In the breath after abandoning Ukraine, Trump will, ‘in the spirit of global peace,’ gift Taiwan to Xi, another ‘friend,’ opening the door for massive Chinese expansion… in all directions. Say goodbye to any friends you may have in Australia, New Zealand, or Japan. India will react by gobbling up as many neighbors as possible. This is my feeble attempt to keep it light WITHOUT mentioning WWIII. Oops! Said it anyway.
So, what are you going to do?
Go back to business as usual and hope no one notices… like a sizeable percentage of German citizens did when Hitler became Chancellor in 1933? It takes little research to reveal how badly that turned out.
Jon Stewart has his answer. If you have not noticed, he is a mess. He is beside himself at the prospect that Donald will once again be ensconced in the White House. Stewart is a man who has the resources to disappear into the mist. Instead, he will remain at the Daily Show. He renewed his contract through 2025 to continue speaking truth to power until they drag him out of his chair on set in front of a live audience. Jon and hundreds of comedians will among the first relocations to internment camps. At the behest of Stephen Miller, they will be joined by outspoken journalists and politicians.
Now, look in a mirror and ask yourself, seriously: What are you going to do if Trump wins? Be honest. Do not lie to or kid yourself. Your answer will tell you how firm your commitment to American democracy is whether Harris wins or loses. Have your answer by election day, November 5.
We will, then, have until January 20, 2025, to prepare for whatever is next.
Me? I’m with Jon.
To new beginnings.
Good luck!
God’s speed.
Kevin McCarthy and Republicans and the Debt Ceiling. Oh, My!
Kevin and the Republicans
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy continues to hold the full faith and credit of the United States hostage in exchange for federal budget cuts by the Biden Administration declaring that our deficits are too big, our national debt is going to burden our children and grandchildren, and adding the old saw that, if I/we ran my/our household budget(s) the way they run the government, I/we would go broke.
By their actions neither Kevin nor the Republican Party, now or ever, has believed any part of that position except that we individuals would go broke if we ran our households the way the government budget does. Republican administrations run budget deficits by spending money on the military, big business subsidies, and tax cuts for the rich, all of which run up the debt and cause inflation (Why do you think the stock market kept going up during Covid lockdown while the economy tanked? Stock price inflation). The national debt nearly tripled under Reagan and doubled again under George W. Bush. Since Reagan’s election, Republican administrations have accounted for 57% of our entire national debt that, already, encompassed debts from a civil war, two world wars, the conflict in Korea, and Vietnam War spending.
Kevin and Modern Monetary Theory
Republicans only complain, becoming self-righteously the party of fiscal responsibility, when Democrats run the government. By their actions, the Republican party practices and believes the tenets of a liberal/progressive economic theory: Modern Monetary Theory. MMT is a neo-Keynesian economic theory that has it roots in the economic theories of John Maynard Keynes, a British economist whose economic ideas were used during the Great Depression in the New Deal by the Franklin Delano Roosevelt administration. Simply stated: “MMT asserts that monetarily sovereign countries which spend, tax, and borrow in a fiat currency that they fully control, are not operationally constrained by revenues when it comes to federal government spending.” (Modern Monetary Theory: [MMT]: Definition, History, and Principles)
In other words, if you can print acceptable currency in your basement, you cannot go broke or go catastrophically into debt. This is exactly how the Republican Party treats federal spending when they control the government.
Kevin and the Debt Ceiling
Hence, the Speaker’s rhetoric on government spending is empty and meaningless. This is nothing more than a hostage situation. If we do not pay the ransom (make the cuts), they promise to kill the hostage (the full faith and credit of the United States).
When the government is no longer contractually able to pay its bills (in default), the federal government will shut down. Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, tax returns, and student loan payments stop. Military personnel will not be paid. SNAP benefits will end. Pell Grant installments will not go out. The CDC, NIH, National Parks, National Museums, passport offices and most other government offices will close. Most government employees, not just nonessential ones, will be furloughed without pay (the government is the single largest employer in the country). Interest rates will spike. Steep inflation will hit fast. It will damage our credit standing around the world. It will weaken foreign faith in the value of the U.S. dollar. If they hold out for only a few days, it may throw our economy into a deep recession.
Kevin and H.R. 2617
If his goal really is not about ‘fiscal responsibility’, then, what does Kevin hope to achieve by kidnapping our credit standing? If we look at HR 2617, the debt ceiling bill just passed in the House of Representatives, it will give us a clue to the Republican agenda.
If we make this deal with the devil as it stands now, it will mean steep cuts in social programs (veteran programs by 22%), tougher work requirements for SNAP benefits and other government aid, a roll back on climate change initiatives, no student debt relief, cutting the newly raised IRS enforcement budget to catch rich tax cheats, limit rural America getting broadband, cut payments to farmers for disasters and supports for rural tenants, and more. It would roll back spending to 2022 levels and cap spending increases to 1% per year for the next decade. Two-thirds of the bill is dedicated to ramping up oil and gas production.
In other words, it is pull-yourself-up-by-your-own-bootstraps for the poor and welfare for the rich and big corporations with an enormous shout out to the oil and coal barons, two of the many patron saints of the Republican Party. Regardless of their claim to be the party of ‘working people’, consistently, they support only what is good for the richest among us. H.R. 2617 is perfectly in line with their true aims.
Kevin and Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day
President Biden should treat this situation like any other hostage situation… and not pay the ransom. Do not give an inch. Do not make budget cuts. Do not negotiate.
After all, Republican government shutdowns have worked so well in the past. Their shutdown under Clinton only helped his reelection. The one to stop the Affordable Care Act under Obama failed spectacularly. Plus, two more shutdowns to build Trump’s wall in 2018/19, not only failed to get the wall built, but ensured Trump’s election loss in 2020.
The longer the shutdown, the closer we will get to Election 2024, the steeper the electoral price will be, the clearer it will be in a vast majority of voters’ minds who should be in charge after the election: Democrats.
We are calling your bluff, Kevin! Shut the whole place down!